If we would like to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is a good sports to begin with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers and some nice guaranteed profitable bets can be found if you know where and when to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your cash from you and there are many inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in many ways talk about timing. The earlier the cost appears the much more likely there will be a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do lots of research as soccer has recently turn into a big earner for them. They have to accomplish this since they are only too aware that the serious punters have become much shrewder in this particular market and definately will exploit any snippets of news that could provide them with an advantage. They advertise heavily in the tabloids.
Whereas in certain minor sports there may be just one single odds compiler doing work for the bookmaker soccer is too lucrative for this particular any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for your big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will provide odds on soccer, its a higher revenue turnover sport.
Such is their turnover on the ever increasing IBO88 that Ladbrokes along with other such big bookmakers are willing to have a ‘big’ bet on the outcome of a match. This is clearly great news for that arb maker. Because of this the utmost bets they will accept on a bet are a lot higher.
There are numerous varieties of soccer bets. Firstly you have the match winner. This really is divided into 3 results, win, lose or draw. Then there are the very first goal scorer and the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full-time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total amounts of yellow and red cards and so forth. In fact anything where odds can be set to will offer a betting opportunity.
So what are the best soccer bets to find? Firstly ignore predicting the match score, you will find way too many outcomes. The initial goal scorer is a total waste of time too. Both these kinds of bets are heavily advertised but are for mug punters only, the chances consistently offered are poor, the bookmakers regularly taking over 15% profit on the book. These bets have far too many possible outcomes. We are looking for bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
How you can play the soccer marketplace is to open accounts with European bookmakers as the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is a good source of sure bets. They both have strong opinions about this sport. They are going to price the sport in their country and the matches in foreign countries. Anything to produce a profit.
Italy, for example is even more soccer crazy compared to the UK, with newspapers committed to the sport. Everyone thinks they know best about this subject and egos get in the way of sensible pricing. This is great news for us. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where since they may well have greater detailed expertise in the comings and goings in their own countries they may be relying on third parties to collate information on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is in midweek games between groups of different nationalities. There is a tendency in punters to obtain patriotic in terms of events where the opposition are ‘foreign’. The probability of the home team get talked up and the odds could get skewed within their favour since the weight of income is overly wagered within their direction.
With that said the major bookmakers provide an early price, they are going to often advertise it within the national papers and generally stick with it. This means that a bench mark has become set and subsequent bookmakers may take a different opinion or try to tempt cash in their direction by giving different odds. If the were to happen the arb may be available for a great deal of time.
There will always be discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers have a tendency to stick across the same price. They figure there is certainly safety in numbers. But bear in mind these are ‘guessing’ just what the odds needs to be just like you and me. These are basing their opinion on past experience and they might utilise statistical formulae but they still have to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can obtain it wrong along with other firms can have a totally different look at the result of any game. A totally different view is only going to result in a slight variation within the odds but this can be enough to offer a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to start with the greater obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They are covered by many different bookmakers all over Europe. This will however add a complication. Although quite simple for locating arbs, the mere proven fact that you pay attention to these obscure matches will throw up the possibility that you are likely to get spotted by the bookmakers should you concentrate your action here.
Also they are going to be reluctant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they may have done little research. On the other hand it really is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You should weigh up the advantages and disadvantages with this strategy.
This is a fairly obscure part of betting and when someone ended up being to check your money over a number of months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on the account it may ring alarm bells. The motto here is to dilute the bets by betting on as much different kind of sport and events as is possible which means that your accounts have varied bets upon them. This shouldn’t be a problem as many different sports are perfect for sure bets.
The greater prominent European ties will even produce arbs and they are generally more unlikely to draw in focus on you together with the highest bets will likely be higher.
As before you cannot control whether the individual bets win or lose but soccer is really a 3 way result and so 2 losing bets to one winning one can be of use on your account. The point is that not so many people are considering the lower European divisions and it may become clear that this betting pattern is a little unusual. This is also true in case your bets to the maximum permitted.
Injury news can become a lucrative area in soccer. Think about it. If a player fails a late fitness test on the Saturday and then he is definitely the teams star striker then this will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned as much as play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play in the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am just not saying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. But the odds on the game clearly changed the minute this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert for this and altered prices as the money poured set for the opposition. Some were slow to react or would not have reacted whatsoever. Either way arbs were available. This sort of last minute frantic activity is particularly keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair in which you can work as the punter or the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through one of the numerous soccer websites. Alternatively satellite television channels always have comprehensive news coverage of all of the games and they are quick to provide any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, but not all at the same time, only one at a time so creating sure bets.
In this scenario where charges are changing bet on the old price first. The newest prices are one that wont change the old cost is one that is about to and thus may be lost if you are not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be information on timing. When chances are first produced or have reason to change then this arbs are much more likely to show up.
Recently the English referees have grown to be more lenient within the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for that total variety of bookings in a game. A number of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly and others did not. This will impact the bet ranges requested total bookings.
Let’s look at the red and yellow card market. If you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points for a yellow card and 25 points for any red. A player can get a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting the following is normally split into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say likelihood of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 as well as over 30 points, probably the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a record of animosity in between the teams by which case the odds are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this type of bet will never figure strongly in your plans. Also it is unusual to discover information being issued which will impact the total bookings bet. But a basic part of news like the insurance policy for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to several arb. The final outcome is not really to expect excessive sure betting activity from your issuing of red and yellow cards nevertheless it not so difficult to check the chances.